Files
quantconnect--lean/Algorithm.CSharp/MeanVarianceOptimizationFrameworkAlgorithm.cs
T
Alexandre Catarino 2b0fd2e607 Updates SPY Market Data (#5493)
* Fixes Double to Decimal Cast in GetAnnualPerformance

`GetAnnualPerformance` raises an exception if the `AnnualPerformance` calculation returns a double that cannot be cast to decimal (smaller than `decimal.MinValue` or bigger than `decimal.MaxValue`).
See `ProbabilisticSharpeRatio` where the same solution was applied.

* Updates SPY Market Data

SPY is a key asset since it is the default benchmark, and any change can lead to different `Alpha` and `Beta`

* Updates Unit Tests to Reflect Data Update

* Updates Regression Tests to Reflect Data Update I

Most of the regression tests change because of updated data (market and factors) of SPY (default benchmark) while the total trade remain the same.

* Updates Regression Tests to Reflect Data Update II

The following regression tests were changed to adapt to adjusted prices and keep the total trades:
- `BacktestingBrokerageRegressionAlgorithm`
- `LimitIfTouchedRegressionAlgorithm`
- `PortfolioRebalanceOnCustomFuncRegressionAlgorithm`
- `SetAccountCurrencySecurityMarginModelRegressionAlgorithm`
- `StopLossOnOrderEventRegressionAlgorithm`
- `TimeInForceAlgorithm`

The following regression tests have more trades since adjusted prices allowed more 1-2 shares trades that were rounded down to zero before:
- `FreePortfolioValueRegressionAlgorithm` 2 -> 3
- `PortfolioRebalanceOnDateRulesRegressionAlgorithm` 291 -> 298
- `TrailingStopRiskFrameworkAlgorithm` 5 -> 7

Especial cases:
- `AutoRegressiveIntegratedMovingAverageRegressionAlgorithm` 65 -> 52
 - ARIMA model sensibility
- `BlackLittermanPortfolioOptimizationFrameworkAlgorithm` 18 -> 19
 - BLM model sensibility
- `ExtendedMarketHoursHistoryRegressionAlgorithm` 20 -> 18
 - Less minute bars before market opens

* Addresses Peer-Review

Fix `BacktestingBrokerageRegressionAlgorithm` to use `CalculateOrderQuantity` and round down `quantity` to an even number to pass a value assertion and update the expected value from 50 to 52.
The quantity calculated by `CalculateOrderQuantity` has changed from 50 to 53 because of factor file update.
2021-04-19 13:31:01 -03:00

130 lines
5.5 KiB
C#

/*
* QUANTCONNECT.COM - Democratizing Finance, Empowering Individuals.
* Lean Algorithmic Trading Engine v2.0. Copyright 2014 QuantConnect Corporation.
*
* Licensed under the Apache License, Version 2.0 (the "License");
* you may not use this file except in compliance with the License.
* You may obtain a copy of the License at http://www.apache.org/licenses/LICENSE-2.0
*
* Unless required by applicable law or agreed to in writing, software
* distributed under the License is distributed on an "AS IS" BASIS,
* WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied.
* See the License for the specific language governing permissions and
* limitations under the License.
*/
using System.Collections.Generic;
using QuantConnect.Algorithm.Framework.Alphas;
using QuantConnect.Algorithm.Framework.Execution;
using QuantConnect.Algorithm.Framework.Portfolio;
using QuantConnect.Algorithm.Framework.Risk;
using QuantConnect.Algorithm.Framework.Selection;
using QuantConnect.Interfaces;
using System.Linq;
using QuantConnect.Data.UniverseSelection;
using QuantConnect.Orders;
namespace QuantConnect.Algorithm.CSharp
{
public class MeanVarianceOptimizationFrameworkAlgorithm : QCAlgorithm, IRegressionAlgorithmDefinition
{
private IEnumerable<Symbol> _symbols = (new[] { "AIG", "BAC", "IBM", "SPY" }).Select(s => QuantConnect.Symbol.Create(s, SecurityType.Equity, Market.USA));
/// <summary>
/// Initialise the data and resolution required, as well as the cash and start-end dates for your algorithm. All algorithms must initialized.
/// </summary>
public override void Initialize()
{
// Set requested data resolution
UniverseSettings.Resolution = Resolution.Minute;
Settings.RebalancePortfolioOnInsightChanges = false;
SetStartDate(2013, 10, 07); //Set Start Date
SetEndDate(2013, 10, 11); //Set End Date
SetCash(100000); //Set Strategy Cash
// Find more symbols here: http://quantconnect.com/data
// Forex, CFD, Equities Resolutions: Tick, Second, Minute, Hour, Daily.
// Futures Resolution: Tick, Second, Minute
// Options Resolution: Minute Only.
// set algorithm framework models
SetUniverseSelection(new CoarseFundamentalUniverseSelectionModel(CoarseSelector));
SetAlpha(new HistoricalReturnsAlphaModel(resolution: Resolution.Daily));
SetPortfolioConstruction(new MeanVarianceOptimizationPortfolioConstructionModel());
SetExecution(new ImmediateExecutionModel());
SetRiskManagement(new NullRiskManagementModel());
}
public IEnumerable<Symbol> CoarseSelector(IEnumerable<CoarseFundamental> coarse)
{
int last = Time.Day > 8 ? 3 : _symbols.Count();
return _symbols.Take(last);
}
public override void OnOrderEvent(OrderEvent orderEvent)
{
if (orderEvent.Status == OrderStatus.Filled)
{
Log($"{orderEvent}");
}
}
public bool CanRunLocally => true;
/// <summary>
/// This is used by the regression test system to indicate which languages this algorithm is written in.
/// </summary>
public Language[] Languages { get; } = { Language.CSharp, Language.Python };
/// <summary>
/// This is used by the regression test system to indicate what the expected statistics are from running the algorithm
/// </summary>
public Dictionary<string, string> ExpectedStatistics => new Dictionary<string, string>
{
{"Total Trades", "14"},
{"Average Win", "0.10%"},
{"Average Loss", "-0.71%"},
{"Compounding Annual Return", "548.295%"},
{"Drawdown", "1.700%"},
{"Expectancy", "-0.313"},
{"Net Profit", "2.594%"},
{"Sharpe Ratio", "14.864"},
{"Probabilistic Sharpe Ratio", "75.670%"},
{"Loss Rate", "40%"},
{"Win Rate", "60%"},
{"Profit-Loss Ratio", "0.15"},
{"Alpha", "1.59"},
{"Beta", "0.797"},
{"Annual Standard Deviation", "0.182"},
{"Annual Variance", "0.033"},
{"Information Ratio", "12.755"},
{"Tracking Error", "0.102"},
{"Treynor Ratio", "3.394"},
{"Total Fees", "$28.11"},
{"Estimated Strategy Capacity", "$25000000.00"},
{"Fitness Score", "0.688"},
{"Kelly Criterion Estimate", "13.656"},
{"Kelly Criterion Probability Value", "0.228"},
{"Sortino Ratio", "42.372"},
{"Return Over Maximum Drawdown", "466.336"},
{"Portfolio Turnover", "0.689"},
{"Total Insights Generated", "17"},
{"Total Insights Closed", "14"},
{"Total Insights Analysis Completed", "14"},
{"Long Insight Count", "6"},
{"Short Insight Count", "7"},
{"Long/Short Ratio", "85.71%"},
{"Estimated Monthly Alpha Value", "$44645.2887"},
{"Total Accumulated Estimated Alpha Value", "$7688.9108"},
{"Mean Population Estimated Insight Value", "$549.2079"},
{"Mean Population Direction", "50%"},
{"Mean Population Magnitude", "50%"},
{"Rolling Averaged Population Direction", "12.6429%"},
{"Rolling Averaged Population Magnitude", "12.6429%"},
{"OrderListHash", "fcdbf18bbe455ea8bb882590b8992659"}
};
}
}