# QUANTCONNECT.COM - Democratizing Finance, Empowering Individuals. # Lean Algorithmic Trading Engine v2.0. Copyright 2014 QuantConnect Corporation. # # Licensed under the Apache License, Version 2.0 (the "License"); # you may not use this file except in compliance with the License. # You may obtain a copy of the License at http://www.apache.org/licenses/LICENSE-2.0 # # Unless required by applicable law or agreed to in writing, software # distributed under the License is distributed on an "AS IS" BASIS, # WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied. # See the License for the specific language governing permissions and # limitations under the License. from clr import AddReference AddReference("System") AddReference("QuantConnect.Common") AddReference("QuantConnect.Indicators") AddReference("QuantConnect.Algorithm") AddReference("QuantConnect.Algorithm.Framework") from System import * from QuantConnect import * from QuantConnect.Indicators import * from QuantConnect.Data.UniverseSelection import * from QuantConnect.Orders.Fees import ConstantFeeModel from QuantConnect.Algorithm.Framework.Alphas import * from QuantConnect.Algorithm.Framework.Portfolio import EqualWeightingPortfolioConstructionModel from QuantConnect.Algorithm.Framework.Selection import CoarseFundamentalUniverseSelectionModel # # Academic research suggests that stock market participants generally place their orders at the market open and close. # Intraday trading volume is J-Shaped, where the minimum trading volume of the day is during lunch-break. Stocks become # more volatile as order flow is reduced and tend to mean-revert during lunch-break. # # This alpha aims to capture the mean-reversion effect of ETFs during lunch-break by ranking 20 ETFs # on their return between the close of the previous day to 12:00 the day after and predicting mean-reversion # in price during lunch-break. # # Source: Lunina, V. (June 2011). The Intraday Dynamics of Stock Returns and Trading Activity: Evidence from OMXS 30 (Master's Essay, Lund University). # Retrieved from http://lup.lub.lu.se/luur/download?func=downloadFile&recordOId=1973850&fileOId=1973852 # # This alpha is part of the Benchmark Alpha Series created by QuantConnect which are open sourced so the community and client funds can see an example of an alpha. # class MeanReversionLunchBreakAlpha(QCAlgorithm): def Initialize(self): self.SetStartDate(2018, 1, 1) self.SetCash(100000) # Set zero transaction fees self.SetSecurityInitializer(lambda security: security.SetFeeModel(ConstantFeeModel(0))) # Use Hourly Data For Simplicity self.UniverseSettings.Resolution = Resolution.Hour self.SetUniverseSelection(CoarseFundamentalUniverseSelectionModel(self.CoarseSelectionFunction)) # Use MeanReversionLunchBreakAlphaModel to establish insights self.SetAlpha(MeanReversionLunchBreakAlphaModel()) # Equally weigh securities in portfolio, based on insights self.SetPortfolioConstruction(EqualWeightingPortfolioConstructionModel()) # Set Immediate Execution Model self.SetExecution(ImmediateExecutionModel()) # Set Null Risk Management Model self.SetRiskManagement(NullRiskManagementModel()) # Sort the data by daily dollar volume and take the top '20' ETFs def CoarseSelectionFunction(self, coarse): sortedByDollarVolume = sorted(coarse, key=lambda x: x.DollarVolume, reverse=True) filtered = [ x.Symbol for x in sortedByDollarVolume if not x.HasFundamentalData ] return filtered[:20] class MeanReversionLunchBreakAlphaModel(AlphaModel): '''Uses the price return between the close of previous day to 12:00 the day after to predict mean-reversion of stock price during lunch break and creates direction prediction for insights accordingly.''' def __init__(self, *args, **kwargs): lookback = kwargs['lookback'] if 'lookback' in kwargs else 1 self.resolution = Resolution.Hour self.predictionInterval = Time.Multiply(Extensions.ToTimeSpan(self.resolution), lookback) self.symbolDataBySymbol = dict() def Update(self, algorithm, data): for symbol, symbolData in self.symbolDataBySymbol.items(): if data.Bars.ContainsKey(symbol): bar = data.Bars.GetValue(symbol) symbolData.Update(bar.EndTime, bar.Close) return [] if algorithm.Time.hour != 12 else \ [x.Insight for x in self.symbolDataBySymbol.values()] def OnSecuritiesChanged(self, algorithm, changes): for security in changes.RemovedSecurities: self.symbolDataBySymbol.pop(security.Symbol, None) # Retrieve price history for all securities in the security universe # and update the indicators in the SymbolData object symbols = [x.Symbol for x in changes.AddedSecurities] history = algorithm.History(symbols, 1, self.resolution) if history.empty: algorithm.Debug(f"No data on {algorithm.Time}") return history = history.close.unstack(level = 0) for ticker, values in history.iteritems(): symbol = next((x for x in symbols if str(x) == ticker ), None) if symbol in self.symbolDataBySymbol or symbol is None: continue self.symbolDataBySymbol[symbol] = self.SymbolData(symbol, self.predictionInterval) self.symbolDataBySymbol[symbol].Update(values.index[0], values[0]) class SymbolData: def __init__(self, symbol, period): self.symbol = symbol self.period = period # Mean value of returns for magnitude prediction self.meanOfPriceChange = IndicatorExtensions.SMA(RateOfChangePercent(1),3) # Price change from close price the previous day self.priceChange = RateOfChangePercent(3) def Update(self, time, value): return self.meanOfPriceChange.Update(time, value) and \ self.priceChange.Update(time, value) @property def Insight(self): direction = InsightDirection.Down if self.priceChange.Current.Value > 0 else InsightDirection.Up margnitude = abs(self.meanOfPriceChange.Current.Value) return Insight.Price(self.symbol, self.period, direction, margnitude, None)