/*
* QUANTCONNECT.COM - Democratizing Finance, Empowering Individuals.
* Lean Algorithmic Trading Engine v2.0. Copyright 2014 QuantConnect Corporation.
*
* Licensed under the Apache License, Version 2.0 (the "License");
* you may not use this file except in compliance with the License.
* You may obtain a copy of the License at http://www.apache.org/licenses/LICENSE-2.0
*
* Unless required by applicable law or agreed to in writing, software
* distributed under the License is distributed on an "AS IS" BASIS,
* WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied.
* See the License for the specific language governing permissions and
* limitations under the License.
*
*/
using System;
using QuantConnect.Algorithm.Framework.Alphas;
using QuantConnect.Algorithm.Framework.Alphas.Analysis;
using QuantConnect.Interfaces;
namespace QuantConnect.Lean.Engine.Alphas
{
///
/// Manages alpha statistics responsbilities
///
public class StatisticsInsightManagerExtension : IInsightManagerExtension
{
private readonly double _smoothingFactor;
private readonly int _rollingAverageIsReadyCount;
private readonly bool _requireRollingAverageWarmup;
private readonly decimal _tradablePercentOfVolume;
///
/// Gets the current statistics. The values are current as of the time specified
/// in and
///
public AlphaRuntimeStatistics Statistics { get; }
///
/// Gets whether or not the rolling average statistics is ready
///
public bool RollingAverageIsReady => !_requireRollingAverageWarmup || Statistics.TotalInsightsAnalysisCompleted >= _rollingAverageIsReadyCount;
///
/// Initializes a new instance of the class
///
/// The account currency provider
/// Percent of volume of first bar used to estimate the maximum number of tradable shares. Defaults to 1%
/// The period used for exponential smoothing of scores - this is a number of insights. Defaults to 100 insight predictions.
/// Specify true to force the population average scoring to warmup before plotting.
public StatisticsInsightManagerExtension(
IAccountCurrencyProvider accountCurrencyProvider,
decimal tradablePercentOfVolume = 0.01m,
int period = 100,
bool requireRollingAverageWarmup = false)
{
Statistics = new AlphaRuntimeStatistics(accountCurrencyProvider);
_tradablePercentOfVolume = tradablePercentOfVolume;
_smoothingFactor = 2.0 / (period + 1.0);
// use normal ema warmup period
_rollingAverageIsReadyCount = period;
_requireRollingAverageWarmup = requireRollingAverageWarmup;
}
///
/// Handles the event
/// Increments total, long and short counters. Updates long/short ratio
///
/// The newly generated insight context
public void OnInsightGenerated(InsightAnalysisContext context)
{
// incremement total insight counter
Statistics.TotalInsightsGenerated++;
// update long/short ratio statistics
if (context.Insight.Direction == InsightDirection.Up)
{
Statistics.LongCount++;
}
else if (context.Insight.Direction == InsightDirection.Down)
{
Statistics.ShortCount++;
}
}
///
/// Computes an estimated value for the insight. This is intended to be invoked at the end of the
/// insight period, i.e, when now == insight.GeneratedTimeUtc + insight.Period;
///
/// Context whose insight has just closed
public void OnInsightClosed(InsightAnalysisContext context)
{
// increment closed insight counter
Statistics.TotalInsightsClosed += 1;
// tradable volume (purposefully includes fractional shares)
var volume = _tradablePercentOfVolume * context.InitialValues.Volume;
// value of the entering the trade in the account currency
var enterValue = volume * context.InitialValues.Price * context.InitialValues.QuoteCurrencyConversionRate;
// value of exiting the trade in the account currency
var exitValue = volume * context.CurrentValues.Price * context.CurrentValues.QuoteCurrencyConversionRate;
// total value delta between enter and exit values
var insightValue = (int)context.Insight.Direction * (exitValue - enterValue);
context.Insight.EstimatedValue = insightValue;
Statistics.TotalAccumulatedEstimatedAlphaValue += insightValue;
}
///
/// Updates the specified statistics with the new scores
///
/// Context whose insight has just completed analysis
public void OnInsightAnalysisCompleted(InsightAnalysisContext context)
{
// increment analysis completed counter
Statistics.TotalInsightsAnalysisCompleted += 1;
foreach (var scoreType in InsightManager.ScoreTypes)
{
if (!context.ShouldAnalyze(scoreType))
{
continue;
}
var score = context.Score.GetScore(scoreType);
var currentTime = context.CurrentValues.TimeUtc;
// online population average
var mean = Statistics.MeanPopulationScore.GetScore(scoreType);
var newMean = mean + (score - mean) / Statistics.TotalInsightsAnalysisCompleted;
Statistics.MeanPopulationScore.SetScore(scoreType, newMean, currentTime);
var newEma = newMean;
if (Statistics.TotalInsightsAnalysisCompleted > 4)
{
// compute the traditional ema
var ema = Statistics.RollingAveragedPopulationScore.GetScore(scoreType);
newEma = score * _smoothingFactor + ema * (1 - _smoothingFactor);
}
Statistics.RollingAveragedPopulationScore.SetScore(scoreType, newEma, currentTime);
}
}
///
/// Invokes the manager at the end of the time step.
///
/// The current frontier time utc
public void Step(DateTime frontierTimeUtc)
{
Statistics.SetDate(frontierTimeUtc);
}
///
/// Allows the extension to initialize itself over the expected range
///
/// The start date of the algorithm
/// The end date of the algorithm
/// The algorithm's current utc time
public void InitializeForRange(DateTime algorithmStartDate, DateTime algorithmEndDate, DateTime algorithmUtcTime)
{
Statistics.SetStartDate(algorithmStartDate);
}
}
}